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Cap and Trade versus Carbon Tax
 
 
Global Warming a Hoax? Hurricanes Frequently Happen
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Business-Cycle Conditions

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August 2008: Percent of AIER Leaders Expanding Increases to 40; Cyclical Score of Leaders is 49

Our primary leading indicators of business-cycle conditions continue to indicate that a recession is likely. The percentage of leading indicators appraised as expanding increased from 33 last month...

July 2008: Percent of AIER Leaders Expanding Drops to 33; Cyclical Score of Leaders is 55

The latest batch of data indicate that the economy is weak and the outlook remains poor.  Most of our 12 Leading Indicators continue to contract, and we downgraded our appraisal of the cyclical...

June 2008: 38 Percent of Leading Indicators Are Expanding; Cyclical Score is 55

In April 2007, we first forecast that a recession was likely. This month our economic indicators show for the first time that a business contraction probably has begun. We rely on six coincident indicators...

May 2008: 44 Percent of Leading Indicators Are Expanding; Cyclical Score is 50

Our twelve leading indicators of business-cycle conditions have improved somewhat since the beginning of the year but they still point to recession.

April 2008: 38 Percent of Leading Indicators Are Expanding; Cyclical Score Is 47

Gross Domestic Product expanded at a 0.6 percent annual rate during the first quarter, the same pace as during the fourth-quarter and substantially slower than the 3.4 percent average since World War...

March 2008: Leading Indicators Expanding 33 percent, Cyclical Score 50

February 2008: Leading Indicators Expanding 33 percent, Cyclical Score 45

January 2008: Leading Indicators Expanding 25 percent, Cyclical Score 43

December 2007: Leading Indicators Expanding 38 percent, Cyclical Score 39

July 2007: Leading Indicators Expanding 38 percent, Cyclical Score 39

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AIER News

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Richard Ebeling Op-Ed in Des Moines Register

Senior Research Fellow Richard M. Ebeling was featured in Sunday's Des Moines Register.  His op-ed is reproduced below: The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index declined in June to just 50 percent,...

Make a Facilities Contribution

AIER’s facilities are fundamental to the Institute’s identity and mission.  Cotswold, the stone house that appears on our book covers, has been AIER’s home since the end of World War II. The spacious...

Save $5 off your next order when you join our Facebook group

For a limited time, receive $5 off your next purchase at the AIER bookstore when you become a member of the AIER Facebook group.  Note: Facebook membership required.

There's a Deafening Quiet from the Federal Reserve

Senior Fellow Walker Todd was quoted in Thursday's New York Post in a piece about the Federal Reserve.  Todd was quoted as saying: "I think everyone is worried," said Walker Todd, former counsel and research...

AIER merchandise now available

AIER merchandise, including water bottles and slingpacks, are now available.  Your purchase helps us continue our mission of providing scientific economic research to as many people as possible.

Walker Todd featured in Bloomberg article on Fed Bailouts

The Case for Lower Taxes

Walker Todd's Plan for State Refinancing of Troubled Mortgages

Can't Tax Way to Prosperity

Free Worksheets and Tools

Research Reports now fully searchable

Richard Ebeling Quoted in Pittsburgh Tribune Review

Critical Issues Package now available

AIER Mini-Conference on the Acceptance of Competitive Local Currencies

Richard Ebeling on KION radio

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 American Institute for Economic Research (AIER) conducts independent, scientific, economic research to educate individuals, thereby advancing their personal interests and those of the Nation.